The fixed rate for I Bonds issued between January 2023 and April 2023 is 0.40%.
I-bonds help offset inflation
As of November 2022, you'll earn an interest rate of 6.89 percent. This rate will change again in May 2023. But before diving all in on I-bonds, speak with a financial adviser to understand future I-bond rate predictions and ensure it's a sound personal finance decision for you.
I bonds have a 6.89% interest rate until April 2023. The interest rate will likely change in six months. If rates stay the same you could earn about $701 in interest in one year.
inflation rate can vary. You can count on a Series I bond to hold its value; that is, the bond's redemption value will not decline.
The interest rate on I bonds changes every six months, and on Nov. 1 the Treasury announced the new rate: 6.89%. While that's lower than I bonds' interest rates for the past two periods, it's still much higher than typical interest on high-yield savings accounts or certificates of deposit.
I Bond Cons
The initial rate is only guaranteed for the first six months of ownership. After that, the rate can fall, even to zero. One-year lockup. You can't get your money back at all the first year, so you shouldn't invest any funds you'll absolutely need anytime soon.
Inflation sucks, but there is one upside: It's still a great time to buy a government-backed I bond. Series I savings bonds are conservative, safe investments that rise and fall with inflation, and they're earning far more than the best high-yield savings account or certificate of deposit.
It has been a long time coming, but 2023 looks to be the year that bonds will be back in fashion with investors. After years of low yields followed by a brutal drop in prices during 2022, returns in the fixed income markets appear poised to rebound.
Call risk is the likelihood that a bond's term will be cut short by the issuer if interest rates fall. Default risk is the chance that the issuer will be unable to meet its financial obligations. Inflation risk is the possibility that inflation will erode the value of a fixed-price bond issue.
The composite rate for I bonds issued from November 2022 through April 2023 is 6.89%.
Normally, you're limited to purchasing $10,000 per person on electronic Series I bonds per year. However, the government allows those with a federal tax refund to invest up to $5,000 of that refund into paper I bonds. So most investors think their annual investment tops out at $15,000.
If you're looking to diversify your portfolio amid the sluggish stock market right now, you might consider Series I bonds as a safe long-term investment with a reliable return. For most people, long-term investing in low-cost index funds is the best path toward financial independence.
I bonds can be excellent options for retirees to build up the conservative bucket of their retirement income plan. As low-risk investments, they are a way for risk-averse investors to beat inflation without putting more resources into the stock market.
I bonds protect you from inflation because when inflation increases, the combined rate increases. Because inflation can go up or down, we can have deflation (the opposite of inflation). Deflation can bring the combined rate down below the fixed rate (as long as the fixed rate itself is not zero).
I bonds earn interest for 30 years, as long as you don't cash them in before then. You need to hold them for at least one year, and if you redeem them after less than five years, you forfeit the previous three months of interest.
Bonds, especially bonds from governments and major companies, also tend to be a safe investment. They can also offer much higher return than savings accounts. In exchange for the higher return, you give up flexibility because you cannot redeem bonds at any time.
Cons of Buying I Bonds
I bonds are meant for longer-term investors. If you don't hold on to your I bond for a full year, you will not receive any interest. You must create an account at TreasuryDirect to buy I bonds; they cannot be purchased through your custodian, online investment account, or local bank.
The main way is to go online using TreasuryDirect.gov, and the I bonds bought through this website are digital. There's also an entirely separate way to purchase paper I bonds.
Risks to Investing In Bonds
While bonds are considered safer investments, they're not risk-free. The biggest risk to bond investors is that the issuer won't make timely payments, known as credit risk. The lower a bond's credit rating, the higher its credit risk. A bond's default risk can change over its lifetime.
In the past 12 months alone, the Fed has hiked rates seven times to combat rising inflation. As of December 2022, the federal funds rate is 3.83%. However, the FOMC predicts that it could continue to rise and peak at around 4.9% in 2023.
The Federal Reserve's projections released after their December meeting showed that in 2023 the bank expects the FFR to average around 5.1 percent.
In its fiscal forecast, published in November 2022, the OBR predicted that the Bank Rate would rise from 1.6% in Quarter 3 2022 to 4.8% in Quarter 3 2023 and 4.5% in Quarter 3 2024.
When we compare the historical 6-month composite rates against 12-month Treasuries at the time we see that the 6-month I bond rate is an average of 0.31% lower. At an initial rate of 6.89%, buying an I bond in October gets roughly 2.1% more compared to the 4.76% 12-month treasury rate (December 13, 2022).
Serious investors should skip the I bond in favor of marketable Treasury debt with a higher yield.